刚性泡沫(增订版)

作者:朱宁 出版时间:2024年01月

《刚性泡沫》是一部深入剖析中国经济刚性泡沫现象的经典著作。其初版发行于2016年,并在 2018 年荣获中国经济金融研究大奖——孙冶方奖,得到了国内学界和政策界的高度认可和肯定。 刚性泡沫指的是受到政策等非经济因素支撑而产生的经济泡沫,源于政府的隐性担保和刚性兑付。它在一定时期内推动了中国经济的发展,但也埋下了众多隐患。尤其在经济增速放缓的情况下,刚性泡沫会影响经济中长期的高质量发展。 这本书的初版对刚性泡沫涉及的诸多方面,例如影子银行、房地产市场、A 股市场、国企问题、政府债务问题等进行了深入分析,并提出了相应的改革思路和措施。2016年以来的历届中央经济工作会议也高度关注相关话题,并制定了相应的化解之策。 然而,随着全球和国内经济形势的深刻变化,存在的问题依然复杂,新的问题和挑战也不断浮现。为此,朱宁教授对这本书进行了重新修订,更新了一些陈旧数据,调整了部分内容,同时也对新的问题进行了补充和探讨。 因此,增订版既保留了这本书的经典性,又能更好地回应新的经济问题,为读者了解中国经济的走向以及如何实现高质量、可持续的经济发展提供了深刻洞见。

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Money Capital: New Monetary Principles for a More Prosperous Society

作者:Patrick Bolton, Haizhou Huang 出版时间:2024年01月

A conventional economic theory, monetarism, holds that inflation is a monetary phenomenon driven by changes in the supply of money. Yet recent experience—including the aftermath of the financial crisis of 2008 and the economic development of China—contradict this basic prediction. In this book, leading economists Patrick Bolton and Haizhou Huang offer a novel perspective, viewing monetary economics through the lens of corporate finance. They propose a richer theory, where money can be seen as the equity capital of a nation, playing a similar role as stocks for a company. This innovative framework integrates the real and monetary sides of the economy, with a banking sector and debt at its core. In the financial world, companies issue new shares only if it results in some kind of value creation; this is a basic principle of corporate finance that Bolton and Huang argue can be applied to monetary economics. When the government increases the money supply to finance positive net value investments—when it prints money to keep the economy going—it increases output, not inflation. This is evidenced by the strong growth in GDP and money in China over the last four decades, and in the United States during World War II. The effect of increasing money supply, they argue, depends on how money enters the system and what the money buys. The principles outlined by Bolton and Huang shed new light on a range of issues, including inflation, monetary and fiscal policy, central banking, money and growth, and the international monetary system. © 2024 by Princeton University Press.

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